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Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 11?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 11?

Volume:
$93,207

36°C

 - Polymarket

36°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

36°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

33°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,878
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,605
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

42°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,993
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

43°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader expectations, which often incorporate meteorological forecasts, historical climate patterns, and seasonal trends for Lucknow in mid-June. While professional weather analysts issue deterministic forecasts based on atmospheric models, prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs into probabilities. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in higher uncertainty, consensus confidence, or contrarian views relative to official forecasts. This gap can signal either market efficiency or opportunities for informed participants.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the highest temperature in Lucknow on June 11 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from meteorological authorities or established weather stations in Lucknow. The specific outcome determination criteria are set by the market creator and enforce which temperature threshold or range determines whether each contract pays out. Traders should review the market rules before trading to understand exactly how the final temperature will be measured and applied.

Major weather pattern shifts, monsoon onset timing, and atmospheric pressure systems over northern India could significantly impact Lucknow's temperature on June 11. Updated seasonal forecasts, El Niño or La Niña developments, and real-time meteorological model runs may shift trader expectations. Historical heat waves, urban heat island effects, and cloud cover predictions also influence pricing. As the date approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable, typically causing sharper price movements. Any unusual climate anomalies or extreme weather warnings in the weeks prior could trigger rapid repricing of market odds.