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Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 1?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 1?

Volume:
$111,378

33°C

 - Polymarket

33°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

33°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Lucknow temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Lucknow on July 1. You can monitor live price movements, 24-hour volume of $70,695, and historical price charts to understand how traders are pricing this weather outcome. The dashboard displays the current implied probability alongside total liquidity, giving you a complete snapshot of market sentiment around whether temperatures will reach specific thresholds on that date.

Prediction market odds reflect crowdsourced trader expectations, which often incorporate meteorological forecasts, historical weather patterns, and real-time atmospheric data. While professional weather analysts publish deterministic temperature predictions, this market aggregates the collective confidence of many participants into a probabilistic view. Comparing the implied odds here to published forecasts from India Meteorological Department or similar agencies can reveal whether traders are pricing in higher or lower confidence than official predictions suggest.

This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Lucknow for July 1 is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing actual meteorological data to the temperature thresholds defined in the market's outcome categories. Once the event date passes and official temperature readings are published, the market will settle based on which outcome bracket the verified high temperature falls into.

Major weather pattern shifts, monsoon intensity changes, and updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies can significantly move this market. Heat waves, unexpected atmospheric systems, or revisions to long-range models may prompt traders to adjust their positions. Additionally, historical temperature anomalies for early July in Lucknow and real-time weather alerts closer to the event date will likely drive trading volume and price discovery as the resolution date approaches.