TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Louisville on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Louisville on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$1,539

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$675
N/A
N/A
$426
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$513
N/A
N/A
$316
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Louisville on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict the outcome based on historical trends and seasonal forecasts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Louisville (CLISDF) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that will resolve to 'Yes' if the recorded temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company's official reporting serves as the sole source for determining outcomes, with preliminary data subject to revision. If a material error is identified before the expiration date, resolution may be delayed until corrected data is published or until expiration, whichever occurs first. In cases where data remains unavailable at expiration, all markets resolve to the last fair price established by the exchange. The 'Final' status indicated on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the event from these resolution procedures.