TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Louisville on a particular date, using an official weather data source. Participants can assess the likelihood of various temperature ranges based on historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts.
The event determines if Louisville's maximum temperature on October 21, 2026, falls within specific Fahrenheit ranges, using The Weather Company as the sole authority. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature band, with one resolving if temperatures are 69°F or below, another for 70-71°F, and so on up to 78°F or above. All markets share consistent secondary rules: preliminary data may vary due to rounding or conversion, and the Exchange reserves discretion to delay resolution for material errors in initial reports. If unresolved data remains unavailable by expiration, markets settle at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not override these resolution protocols.