TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Louisville on Oct 10, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Louisville on Oct 10, 2026?

Volume:
$5,142

70° or below

 - Kalshi

70° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° or below

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,772
N/A
N/A
$1,147
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,072
N/A
N/A
$1,037
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
$471
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$257
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
$196
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Louisville on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature recording for that day, reflecting climate conditions and forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on October 10, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company’s final reported value is the sole authority. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the expiration date, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is published or until expiration, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.