TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$722,926

82° or below

 - Kalshi

82° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° or below

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$102,450
N/A
N/A
$60,103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$274,546
N/A
N/A
$258,045
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130,727
N/A
N/A
$100,230
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,118
N/A
N/A
$84,303
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,615
N/A
N/A
$42,126
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,470
N/A
N/A
$37,985
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Los Angeles on a particular date in 2026. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climate conditions rather than market predictions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 82°F or below, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected value is published or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.