TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 7, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 7, 2026?

Volume:
$983,470

85° to 86°

 - Kalshi

85° to 86° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

85° to 86°

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$128,514
N/A
N/A
$58,611
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° or above

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$586,477
N/A
N/A
$427,105
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,166
N/A
N/A
$47,661
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,822
N/A
N/A
$44,241
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,336
N/A
N/A
$61,431
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,155
N/A
N/A
$13,907
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Los Angeles on a particular date in 2026. Outcomes depend on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 82°F or below, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial data before expiration, the resolution may be delayed until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable at expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.