TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$901,889

94° to 95°

 - Kalshi

94° to 95° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

94° to 95°

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$146,830
N/A
N/A
$90,660
Settled
Yes
kalshi

100° or above

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$222,628
N/A
N/A
$169,567
Settled
No
kalshi

98° to 99°

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205,016
N/A
N/A
$152,328
Settled
No
kalshi

96° to 97°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151,302
N/A
N/A
$92,720
Settled
No
kalshi

92° to 93°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115,406
N/A
N/A
$82,761
Settled
No
kalshi

91° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,708
N/A
N/A
$48,924
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting potential weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, even if other sources report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initially published data, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date arrives, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The status of “Final” on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience only and does not guarantee immunity from error-related adjustments.