TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$867,718

101° to 102°

 - Kalshi

101° to 102° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

101° to 102°

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$169,389
N/A
N/A
$91,401
Settled
Yes
kalshi

103° to 104°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$306,836
N/A
N/A
$252,546
Settled
No
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179,004
N/A
N/A
$110,525
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or below

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,831
N/A
N/A
$39,535
Settled
No
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,423
N/A
N/A
$43,810
Settled
No
kalshi

105° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,234
N/A
N/A
$52,347
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Los Angeles on a particular date, offering insights into potential weather extremes. Outcomes depend on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting real-world climate conditions and measurement practices.

Kalshi

The event determines if the maximum temperature in Los Angeles on October 5, 2026, falls within one of six specified ranges, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. The Weather Company serves as the sole authority for temperature data, with all markets resolving based on their reported maximum temperature for that day. Each market has a defined temperature range: "96° or below", "97° to 98°", "99° to 100°", "101° to 102°", "103° to 104°", or "105° or above". If the recorded temperature matches any market's range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation until a corrected revision is issued or the expiration date arrives. Should data remain unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so users should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The "Final" status on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential revision or Exchange review.