TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$297,027

99° or above

 - Kalshi

99° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

99° or above

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92,104
N/A
N/A
$51,442
Settled
Yes
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,608
N/A
N/A
$61,345
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,775
N/A
N/A
$46,932
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,142
N/A
N/A
$34,607
Settled
No
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,730
N/A
N/A
$14,373
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,668
N/A
N/A
$14,353
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Los Angeles on October 4, 2026. Outcomes depend on the highest temperature recorded that day, categorized into distinct ranges. The event provides a way to assess potential weather conditions through defined temperature bands.

Kalshi

The event determines outcomes based on the maximum temperature recorded in Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to Yes if the actual temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, requiring caution in interpretation before final publication. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay expiration until a corrected revision is published or until the expiration date, whichever occurs first. Should no data remain available by the expiration period's end, all markets resolve to the last fair price established by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is strictly informational and does not exempt the data from potential error correction processes.