TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 2, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 2, 2026?

Volume:
$1,214,461

87° to 88°

 - Kalshi

87° to 88° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

87° to 88°

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$152,141
N/A
N/A
$60,569
Settled
Yes
kalshi

93° or above

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$490,329
N/A
N/A
$366,630
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$171,364
N/A
N/A
$125,562
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,346
N/A
N/A
$76,100
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,091
N/A
N/A
$104,087
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,190
N/A
N/A
$61,436
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific date in the future, categorizing outcomes into several possible ranges. Each range represents a different temperature band that the actual high might fall into, allowing participants to assess probabilities based on climate forecasts and historical patterns.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. In cases where preliminary data may contain errors, the Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution until a corrected, non-materially erroneous value is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. Should no valid data remain available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is strictly informational and does not exempt the data from potential revision or error correction under these rules.