TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$962,389

87° to 88°

 - Kalshi

87° to 88° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

87° to 88°

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$225,893
N/A
N/A
$78,350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$266,054
N/A
N/A
$130,440
Settled
No
kalshi

91° or above

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$256,403
N/A
N/A
$175,200
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,798
N/A
N/A
$63,120
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,335
N/A
N/A
$49,041
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,906
N/A
N/A
$36,894
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on whether the temperature falls within certain degree ranges, providing insight into potential weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that will resolve to 'Yes' if the recorded temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initially published data, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. Should no data remain available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee immunity from data revisions or errors.