TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$467,320

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,132
N/A
N/A
$34,461
Settled
Yes
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,846
N/A
N/A
$62,828
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,352
N/A
N/A
$67,351
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,141
N/A
N/A
$39,003
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,461
N/A
N/A
$39,203
Settled
No
kalshi

63° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,387
N/A
N/A
$31,744
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be met or exceeded in Los Angeles on a particular day in 2026. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions for that location and date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 63°F or below, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, 70-71°F, or above 71°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before expiration, the market may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable at expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.