TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 11, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume:
$510,540

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105,297
N/A
N/A
$62,253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186,093
N/A
N/A
$171,244
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114,058
N/A
N/A
$76,873
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,330
N/A
N/A
$61,945
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,839
N/A
N/A
$17,139
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,921
N/A
N/A
$11,071
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Los Angeles on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature recording for that day, with various temperature ranges determining different results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 11, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 69°F or below, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, or 78°F and above. The Exchange uses The Weather Company as the sole source for official data, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the market's expiration, the resolution may be delayed until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.