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Highest temperature in London on June 6?
polymarket

Highest temperature in London on June 6?

Volume:
$211,459

17°C

 - Polymarket

17°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

17°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,931
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,950
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money traders' collective expectations for London's peak temperature on June 6, often incorporating meteorological models and historical weather patterns faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While weather services like the UK Met Office publish seasonal and medium-range outlooks, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information and financial incentives into a dynamic probability. Comparing Polymarket odds to published analyst temperature ranges can reveal whether traders are pricing in warmer or cooler conditions than official forecasts suggest, offering a complementary view of expected outcomes.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the highest temperature in London on June 6 is recorded. The outcome is determined by official temperature data for that date, establishing which temperature threshold or range was actually reached. Resolution occurs once verified meteorological records are available, confirming the final result. Traders should monitor official weather station data and any platform-specific resolution criteria to understand how the exact temperature will be mapped to the available market outcomes.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems can significantly move odds for London's June 6 temperature. Updated medium-range forecasts from meteorological agencies, changes in jet stream positioning, or anomalies in sea-surface temperatures may alter trader expectations. Broader climate indices—such as the North Atlantic Oscillation or solar activity—can influence European weather. As June approaches, increasingly precise forecasts will narrow uncertainty and drive price convergence. Real-time weather data, model consensus updates, and any unusual atmospheric events will be key catalysts for odds movement on Polymarket.