TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 4, 2026?

Volume:
$25,351

97° to 98°

 - Kalshi

97° to 98° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

97° to 98°

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,638
N/A
N/A
$5,166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,581
N/A
N/A
$3,520
Settled
No
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,845
N/A
N/A
$3,110
Settled
No
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,398
N/A
N/A
$2,689
Settled
No
kalshi

92° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,322
N/A
N/A
$1,322
Settled
No
kalshi

101° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$566
N/A
N/A
$566
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how weather forecasting and data verification processes work in real-world scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas (CLILAS) on September 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 92°F or below, 93-94°F, 95-96°F, 97-98°F, 99-100°F, or above 100°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and users should be aware that preliminary readings may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.