TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$59,433

97° to 98°

 - Kalshi

97° to 98° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

97° to 98°

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,013
N/A
N/A
$15,925
Settled
Yes
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,141
N/A
N/A
$21,967
Settled
No
kalshi

101° to 102°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,110
N/A
N/A
$2,757
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,787
N/A
N/A
$1,706
Settled
No
kalshi

94° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$878
N/A
N/A
$851
Settled
No
kalshi

103° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
$504
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific future date, offering different outcomes based on the exact temperature range achieved. Participants can assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the likelihood of various temperature scenarios.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, while all others resolve to No. All markets share common secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s reported value is the sole authority, even if other sources differ. Preliminary data may be subject to revision, and the exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in initial reports. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee immunity from revisions or errors.