TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$27,759

97° to 98°

 - Kalshi

97° to 98° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

97° to 98°

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,162
N/A
N/A
$4,654
Settled
Yes
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,140
N/A
N/A
$6,303
Settled
No
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,439
N/A
N/A
$4,289
Settled
No
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,481
N/A
N/A
$2,520
Settled
No
kalshi

101° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$873
N/A
N/A
$850
Settled
No
kalshi

92° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$663
N/A
N/A
$662
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, categorizing outcomes into distinct temperature ranges. Participants can assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the likelihood of different temperature scenarios.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The Weather Company serves as the sole source for official temperature data. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the data from potential revisions.