TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 17, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 17, 2026?

Volume:
$30,905

76° or below

 - Kalshi

76° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° or below

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,458
N/A
N/A
$7,836
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,647
N/A
N/A
$3,035
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,320
N/A
N/A
$4,696
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,052
N/A
N/A
$1,586
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$757
N/A
N/A
$752
Settled
No
kalshi

85° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$671
N/A
N/A
$655
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Las Vegas on a particular date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on recorded weather data against predefined temperature ranges. Participants assess likelihood based on climate patterns and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas (CLILAS) on October 17, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature range: below 77°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, or above 84°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending until a corrected value is published or the expiration date passes. If data remains unavailable by expiration, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. While other weather sources may offer guidance, only The Weather Company's official report determines outcomes. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, requiring caution in interpretation. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not exempt data from potential revision under the Exchange's error-resolution protocol.