TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$20,942

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,480
N/A
N/A
$4,426
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,153
N/A
N/A
$4,830
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,159
N/A
N/A
$3,341
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,131
N/A
N/A
$1,598
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,018
N/A
N/A
$1,018
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Las Vegas on a particular date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climate conditions rather than market predictions.

Kalshi

The event determines if the maximum temperature in Las Vegas on October 15, 2026, falls within specified ranges, with resolution based exclusively on data from The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature band: below 76°F, 76–77°F, 78–79°F, 80–81°F, 82–83°F, or above 83°F. All markets share consistent secondary rules emphasizing that while other weather services may offer guidance, only The Weather Company’s reported maximum temperature is authoritative. Preliminary data may undergo revisions due to rounding or conversion discrepancies, and the exchange retains discretion to delay expiration if material errors are identified in initial publications. Should data remain unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price established by Kalshi. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not immunize the data from potential adjustments under these rules.