TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Las Vegas on a particular date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climate conditions rather than market predictions.
The event determines if the maximum temperature in Las Vegas on October 15, 2026, falls within specified ranges, with resolution based exclusively on data from The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature band: below 76°F, 76–77°F, 78–79°F, 80–81°F, 82–83°F, or above 83°F. All markets share consistent secondary rules emphasizing that while other weather services may offer guidance, only The Weather Company’s reported maximum temperature is authoritative. Preliminary data may undergo revisions due to rounding or conversion discrepancies, and the exchange retains discretion to delay expiration if material errors are identified in initial publications. Should data remain unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price established by Kalshi. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not immunize the data from potential adjustments under these rules.