TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 14, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume:
$21,671

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,379
N/A
N/A
$3,459
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,185
N/A
N/A
$4,485
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,946
N/A
N/A
$2,227
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,516
N/A
N/A
$1,999
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$930
N/A
N/A
$908
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
$700
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Las Vegas on a particular date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on recorded weather data, making it a straightforward test of climate conditions against predefined benchmarks.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas (CLILAS) on October 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range or threshold: below 70°F, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, or above 77°F. The official data source is The Weather Company, and users should exercise caution with preliminary readings due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. In the absence of data by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.