TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 10, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 10, 2026?

Volume:
$24,667

87° to 88°

 - Kalshi

87° to 88° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

87° to 88°

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,061
N/A
N/A
$4,125
Settled
Yes
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,325
N/A
N/A
$4,153
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,363
N/A
N/A
$2,572
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,063
N/A
N/A
$2,333
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,754
N/A
N/A
$1,509
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,101
N/A
N/A
$801
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Las Vegas on a particular date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climate conditions rather than market predictions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas (CLILAS) on October 10, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 85°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before expiration, the resolution may be delayed until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.