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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jun 3, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jun 3, 2026?

Volume:
$36,284

102° to 103°

 - Kalshi

102° to 103° - Kalshi

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Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

102° to 103°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,348
N/A
N/A
$7,010
Settled
Yes
kalshi

104° to 105°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,077
N/A
N/A
$4,081
Settled
No
kalshi

100° to 101°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,188
N/A
N/A
$3,512
Settled
No
kalshi

106° to 107°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,110
N/A
N/A
$2,930
Settled
No
kalshi

108° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,309
N/A
N/A
$1,304
Settled
No
kalshi

99° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,251
N/A
N/A
$1,211
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The daytime high temperature in Las Vegas on June 3, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi represent real-money consensus from active traders and differ from traditional weather analyst forecasts. While meteorologists typically issue deterministic point estimates or confidence intervals based on climate models, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information through price discovery. The current market pricing reflects trader expectations about June 2026 conditions in Las Vegas. Comparing these odds to National Weather Service seasonal outlooks or climate analyst consensus can reveal whether markets are pricing in more or less extreme heat than official forecasters expect. Such divergences often highlight uncertainty or emerging data that markets are pricing ahead of traditional forecasts.

The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026, after the highest temperature for June 3, 2026 has been recorded in Las Vegas. The outcome is determined by the official maximum temperature reading for that date. Once the actual high is confirmed, Kalshi will settle all shares in the corresponding outcome to their full value, and all other outcomes to zero. Traders holding shares in the correct temperature range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is objective and based on recorded meteorological data, ensuring a definitive settlement.

Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Updated seasonal climate forecasts from NOAA or other meteorological agencies may signal stronger or weaker heat patterns for early June 2026. Changes in ocean temperatures, atmospheric pressure systems, or long-range teleconnection patterns could alter trader expectations. Real-time weather developments closer to June 2026 will have outsized impact as uncertainty narrows. Historical heat records and anomalies in late May 2026 may also influence how traders price the June 3 outcome. As new data arrives, market prices will adjust to reflect revised probabilities, creating trading opportunities for those monitoring weather developments and seasonal trends.