TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends entirely on the official National Weather Service report released after the date in question.
All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on July 31, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 110°F, 110–111°F, 112–113°F, 114–115°F, 116–117°F, or above 117°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available from the specified URL. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so only the final NWS report determines resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to "Yes" based on where the actual temperature falls within these ranges.