TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$31,177

112° to 113°

 - Kalshi

112° to 113° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

112° to 113°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,763
N/A
N/A
$5,112
Settled
Yes
kalshi

114° to 115°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,037
N/A
N/A
$8,688
Settled
No
kalshi

110° to 111°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,643
N/A
N/A
$2,845
Settled
No
kalshi

116° to 117°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,556
N/A
N/A
$2,223
Settled
No
kalshi

109° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,183
N/A
N/A
$1,050
Settled
No
kalshi

118° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$996
N/A
N/A
$889
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends entirely on the official National Weather Service report released after the date in question.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on July 31, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 110°F, 110–111°F, 112–113°F, 114–115°F, 116–117°F, or above 117°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available from the specified URL. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so only the final NWS report determines resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to "Yes" based on where the actual temperature falls within these ranges.