TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 16, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 16, 2026?

Volume:
$31,978

107° to 108°

 - Kalshi

107° to 108° - Kalshi

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

107° to 108°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,683
N/A
N/A
$4,588
Settled
Yes
kalshi

105° to 106°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,590
N/A
N/A
$10,080
Settled
No
kalshi

104° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,053
N/A
N/A
$4,183
Settled
No
kalshi

109° to 110°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,460
N/A
N/A
$3,157
Settled
No
kalshi

111° to 112°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,607
N/A
N/A
$1,245
Settled
No
kalshi

113° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$585
N/A
N/A
$585
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on July 16, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas, which provides the authoritative temperature measurement for that date.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas on July 16, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature is divided into six distinct ranges: 104°F or below, 105–106°F, 107–108°F, 109–110°F, 111–112°F, and 113°F or above. Each range corresponds to a separate market outcome. The official data source is accessed via the NWS Climate portal at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=vef under the "Observed Weather" tab, selecting Las Vegas, NV with Daily Climate Report. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final version of the climatological report serves as the definitive resolution source. While other weather services may provide guidance, only the NWS Climatological Report (Daily) determines the outcome.