TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature measurement reported by the National Weather Service for that day. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the likelihood of different temperature ranges.
All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 9, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The market with the matching temperature range wins; for example, if the temperature reaches 115°F, the '114° to 115°' market resolves as Yes. Traders must reference the specific NWS data source provided, as preliminary or third-party weather reports are not considered official for resolution purposes. All markets share identical data sources and secondary disclaimers regarding data updates and measurement nuances, ensuring consistent evaluation across temperature categories.