TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$38,691

112° to 113°

 - Kalshi

112° to 113° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

112° to 113°

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,375
N/A
N/A
$7,063
Settled
Yes
kalshi

110° to 111°

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,923
N/A
N/A
$13,044
Settled
No
kalshi

114° to 115°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,164
N/A
N/A
$4,046
Settled
No
kalshi

109° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,177
N/A
N/A
$2,416
Settled
No
kalshi

116° to 117°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,525
N/A
N/A
$1,522
Settled
No
kalshi

118° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined solely by the official report after the date occurs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 8, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 110°F, 110-111°F, 112-113°F, 114-115°F, 116-117°F, or above 117°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so only the final NWS report determines resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive, with exactly one resolving to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these ranges.