TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$44,533

112° to 113°

 - Kalshi

112° to 113° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

112° to 113°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,916
N/A
N/A
$5,858
Settled
Yes
kalshi

110° to 111°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,203
N/A
N/A
$10,464
Settled
No
kalshi

114° to 115°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,155
N/A
N/A
$7,782
Settled
No
kalshi

116° to 117°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,764
N/A
N/A
$5,405
Settled
No
kalshi

118° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,261
N/A
N/A
$1,257
Settled
No
kalshi

109° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,234
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature measurement reported by the National Weather Service after the date occurs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 4, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The market with the exact temperature range that includes the recorded value will resolve as Yes, while all others resolve as No. Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party reports are not considered authoritative. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, caution is advised when interpreting early reports. The final determination will use the latest version of the NWS Daily Climate Report for Las Vegas, NV, available after the date in question.