TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$35,857

113° to 114°

 - Kalshi

113° to 114° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

113° to 114°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,584
N/A
N/A
$4,538
Settled
Yes
kalshi

115° to 116°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,473
N/A
N/A
$7,103
Settled
No
kalshi

111° to 112°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,334
N/A
N/A
$4,729
Settled
No
kalshi

117° to 118°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,520
N/A
N/A
$3,646
Settled
No
kalshi

110° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,172
N/A
N/A
$2,841
Settled
No
kalshi

119° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,774
N/A
N/A
$1,559
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends on how hot it gets, with different ranges determining resolution. All outcomes rely on verified meteorological reports for accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 2, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature must be verified from the NWS website referenced in the secondary rules, specifically through the 'Observed Weather' tab for Las Vegas, NV, using the Daily Climate Report. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 111°F, 111–112°F, 113–114°F, 115–116°F, 117–118°F, or above 118°F. The official NWS data takes precedence over any third-party weather services, and traders should be aware that preliminary reports may undergo revisions due to rounding or conversion processes. The latest available NWS report for the date will be used to determine the outcome, with all participants advised to rely exclusively on this authoritative source.