TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$57,542

101° to 102°

 - Kalshi

101° to 102° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

101° to 102°

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,221
N/A
N/A
$7,317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,296
N/A
N/A
$10,943
Settled
No
kalshi

98° or below

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,290
N/A
N/A
$10,416
Settled
No
kalshi

103° to 104°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,298
N/A
N/A
$4,258
Settled
No
kalshi

105° to 106°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,375
N/A
N/A
$1,775
Settled
No
kalshi

107° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,061
N/A
N/A
$2,059
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the sole source of truth. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined solely by the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 12, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which temperature range the official NWS maximum falls into: 98° or below, 99-100°, 101-102°, 103-104°, 105-106°, or above 106°. Traders must reference the official NWS data through the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Las Vegas, NV' with the Daily Climate Report. Preliminary or third-party weather data (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather) are not valid for resolution; only the final NWS report counts. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, participants should exercise caution when interpreting early reports. The latest version of the data for the specified date must be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary across cities.