TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the sole source of truth. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined solely by the National Weather Service's official report for that day.
All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 12, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which temperature range the official NWS maximum falls into: 98° or below, 99-100°, 101-102°, 103-104°, 105-106°, or above 106°. Traders must reference the official NWS data through the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Las Vegas, NV' with the Daily Climate Report. Preliminary or third-party weather data (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather) are not valid for resolution; only the final NWS report counts. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, participants should exercise caution when interpreting early reports. The latest version of the data for the specified date must be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary across cities.