TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$35,278

114° to 115°

 - Kalshi

114° to 115° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

114° to 115°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,106
N/A
N/A
$8,160
Settled
Yes
kalshi

116° to 117°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,664
N/A
N/A
$6,720
Settled
No
kalshi

112° to 113°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,088
N/A
N/A
$3,887
Settled
No
kalshi

118° to 119°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,019
N/A
N/A
$2,469
Settled
No
kalshi

111° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,680
N/A
N/A
$2,510
Settled
No
kalshi

120° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$720
N/A
N/A
$720
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends on how hot it gets on that day, with different ranges determining various results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 1, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other weather services may be informative, only the NWS report determines the resolution. Temperature measurements may involve rounding and conversion nuances, so traders should use caution when interpreting early or unofficial data. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome: below 112°F, 112–113°F, 114–115°F, 116–117°F, 118–119°F, and above 119°F. The secondary rules emphasize the importance of using the correct data source and being aware of potential discrepancies between preliminary reports and the official NWS record.