TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends on how hot it gets on that day, with different ranges determining various results.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on August 1, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other weather services may be informative, only the NWS report determines the resolution. Temperature measurements may involve rounding and conversion nuances, so traders should use caution when interpreting early or unofficial data. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome: below 112°F, 112–113°F, 114–115°F, 116–117°F, 118–119°F, and above 119°F. The secondary rules emphasize the importance of using the correct data source and being aware of potential discrepancies between preliminary reports and the official NWS record.