TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Highest temperature in LA on Jun 11, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in LA on Jun 11, 2026?

Volume:
$582,303

76° to 77°

 - Kalshi

76° to 77° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 3:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° to 77°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$104,710
N/A
N/A
$54,780
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$217,729
N/A
N/A
$151,836
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136,978
N/A
N/A
$80,408
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67,311
N/A
N/A
$37,696
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,923
N/A
N/A
$23,567
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,651
N/A
N/A
$21,463
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event concerns the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on June 11, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report. The market will resolve based on the actual temperature reading from that specific date and location.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport, CA on June 11, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official NWS data serves as the authoritative source; while other weather services may provide guidance, only the NWS report determines the final outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may involve rounding and conversion nuances that could affect interpretation of borderline values.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in LA on Jun 11, 2026 dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and pricing for this weather event. It displays the current implied probability of each temperature outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $520,728. The dashboard aggregates total group volume of $582,303 across all outcome contracts, helping traders monitor market sentiment and liquidity as the event date approaches on Jun 12, 2026.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature in LA on June 11, 2026 is priced as a set of binary or range-based contracts, each representing a specific temperature threshold or band. Traders buy or sell shares reflecting their belief about whether the actual high will fall within that range. Prices move continuously as new information arrives, with bid-ask spreads reflecting market uncertainty. The contract structure allows granular temperature forecasting while maintaining liquid, tradeable markets.

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on June 11, 2026 is finalized. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated weather source, which is typically the National Weather Service or equivalent meteorological authority. Once the actual high temperature is confirmed, the corresponding outcome contract settles and all other contracts expire worthless, determining final payouts for traders.

Several factors could shift odds for the highest temperature in LA on June 11, 2026. Long-range weather pattern changes, including shifts in the jet stream or development of heat domes, are primary drivers. Updates to seasonal climate forecasts and historical analogs for similar June dates will influence trader positioning. Real-time atmospheric data closer to the event date, such as high-pressure system intensity and marine layer strength, will tighten uncertainty. Major climate or weather news could also reprrice expectations.