TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in LA on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in LA on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$761,288

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 3:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$111,145
N/A
N/A
$54,993
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$209,732
N/A
N/A
$175,836
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199,063
N/A
N/A
$123,578
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119,874
N/A
N/A
$66,512
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$73,151
N/A
N/A
$57,310
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,323
N/A
N/A
$39,278
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Los Angeles on a specific date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate conditions and temperature trends for a particular day in the future.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on July 30, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All outcomes share the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the final arbiter regardless of preliminary or third-party data discrepancies. Traders must recognize that preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion inconsistencies, and only the official NWS daily climatological report should be used for resolution.