TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$733,095

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 3:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$90,764
N/A
N/A
$50,547
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$299,556
N/A
N/A
$275,172
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$127,611
N/A
N/A
$83,140
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100,295
N/A
N/A
$62,485
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,947
N/A
N/A
$44,906
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,922
N/A
N/A
$49,781
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the daily peak temperature in Los Angeles on a specific date in 2026, using official government data. The outcome depends on how hot it gets, with different ranges determining the result. All temperatures are verified through a standardized reporting system to ensure accuracy.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on July 27, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges define the possible outcomes: below 79°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, and above 86°F. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authority for determining the final temperature, and traders must rely on its official data rather than third-party weather services. Preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, so final settlement will use the published daily climatological report. Each market corresponds to one of these temperature bands, with the 'Yes' outcome triggered if the recorded high falls within that specific range. All secondary rules emphasize the importance of using only NWS data for resolution, cautioning participants about potential inconsistencies in early or unofficial weather readings.