TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 3:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the daily peak temperature in Los Angeles on a specific date in 2026, using official government data. The outcome depends on how hot it gets, with different ranges determining the result. All temperatures are verified through a standardized reporting system to ensure accuracy.
The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on July 27, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges define the possible outcomes: below 79°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, and above 86°F. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authority for determining the final temperature, and traders must rely on its official data rather than third-party weather services. Preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, so final settlement will use the published daily climatological report. Each market corresponds to one of these temperature bands, with the 'Yes' outcome triggered if the recorded high falls within that specific range. All secondary rules emphasize the importance of using only NWS data for resolution, cautioning participants about potential inconsistencies in early or unofficial weather readings.