TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 3:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature expected in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate conditions and make informed predictions about extreme heat events.
All markets resolve based solely on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on July 26, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome depends on which temperature range the actual measurement falls into: below 79°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, or above 86°F. While preliminary data from other weather services may be referenced for guidance, only the NWS report serves as the binding authority. Traders must recognize that early NWS data might contain rounding or conversion inconsistencies, requiring careful interpretation before final resolution.