TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in LA on Jul 25, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in LA on Jul 25, 2026?

Volume:
$738,565

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 3:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$121,265
N/A
N/A
$78,540
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$312,042
N/A
N/A
$293,413
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103,183
N/A
N/A
$70,934
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97,992
N/A
N/A
$62,388
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,563
N/A
N/A
$40,656
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,520
N/A
N/A
$41,850
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day. The outcome depends solely on the temperature recorded at a designated location and reported by an authoritative weather agency.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based exclusively on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on July 25, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 79°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, or above 86°F. The market associated with the actual reported temperature range will resolve as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' While preliminary or third-party weather data may offer guidance, only the final NWS report serves as the binding authority. Traders should be aware that NWS data processing may involve rounding or conversion nuances, and provisional readings might change before the official report is issued.