TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in LA on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in LA on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$571,391

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 3:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$107,004
N/A
N/A
$58,309
Settled
Yes
kalshi

83° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$197,977
N/A
N/A
$185,650
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$143,174
N/A
N/A
$76,316
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$95,639
N/A
N/A
$37,291
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,956
N/A
N/A
$19,992
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,641
N/A
N/A
$4,641
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate conditions and temperature trends for planning or predictive purposes.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 7, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six separate temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a distinct market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All outcomes rely exclusively on the NWS report, ensuring consistency and eliminating ambiguity from varying data sources. Traders must recognize that preliminary data may undergo revisions, and only the final NWS report serves as the binding authority for resolution.