TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in LA on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in LA on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$438,330

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 3:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,705
N/A
N/A
$30,673
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$135,101
N/A
N/A
$68,667
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123,708
N/A
N/A
$123,702
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,379
N/A
N/A
$50,447
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,056
N/A
N/A
$29,389
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,382
N/A
N/A
$12,352
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the actual peak temperature reached in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate conditions and temperature trends for planning or predictive purposes.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 6, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six separate temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All outcomes rely exclusively on the NWS report, with no consideration for data from other weather services. Traders must recognize that preliminary NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and only the final official report determines the resolution. Caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data, as only the authoritative NWS Climatological Report serves as the binding reference for all markets under this event.