TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Highest temperature in LA on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in LA on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$343,027

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 3:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,237
N/A
N/A
$35,772
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,119
N/A
N/A
$60,174
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76,404
N/A
N/A
$69,591
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,772
N/A
N/A
$39,433
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,006
N/A
N/A
$23,853
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,488
N/A
N/A
$19,901
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day. The outcome depends solely on the temperature recorded at a designated location and reported by an authoritative weather agency.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 5, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 75°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, or above 82°F. The NWS report serves as the final arbiter, with all traders required to accept its data as binding despite potential discrepancies with other weather services. Preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion inconsistencies, so participants must exercise caution when interpreting early reports. No alternative sources, estimates, or interpretations are valid for resolution purposes. The market resolving to Yes indicates the actual temperature fell within that specific range as per the official NWS record.