TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 3:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day. The outcome depends solely on the temperature recorded at a designated location and reported by an authoritative weather agency.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 5, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 75°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, or above 82°F. The NWS report serves as the final arbiter, with all traders required to accept its data as binding despite potential discrepancies with other weather services. Preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion inconsistencies, so participants must exercise caution when interpreting early reports. No alternative sources, estimates, or interpretations are valid for resolution purposes. The market resolving to Yes indicates the actual temperature fell within that specific range as per the official NWS record.