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Science and Technology
Highest temperature in LA on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in LA on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$485,354

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 3:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84,555
N/A
N/A
$44,266
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$152,590
N/A
N/A
$150,769
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77,032
N/A
N/A
$44,933
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76,785
N/A
N/A
$40,797
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,003
N/A
N/A
$62,924
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,390
N/A
N/A
$26,969
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature expected in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. Participants assess temperature probabilities based on historical trends, seasonal patterns, and climate projections. The outcome hinges on precise temperature thresholds defined in the rules.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 3, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), falls within one of six specified ranges. Each range corresponds to a distinct market outcome: below 76°F, 76–77°F, 78–79°F, 80–81°F, 82–83°F, or above 83°F. All markets rely exclusively on the NWS report for resolution, with secondary notes cautioning traders about potential discrepancies in preliminary or third-party data sources due to rounding or conversion nuances. The final NWS report serves as the binding authority, and traders must account for these measurement intricacies when evaluating temperature probabilities.