TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 30?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 30?

Volume:
$31,308

34°C

 - Polymarket

34°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

34°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

31°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,719
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the peak daily temperature in Kuala Lumpur will reach 34°C on May 30, 2026. On Polymarket, the 34°C outcome is trading at 35.5%, while the 33°C outcome is at 28.0%. Resolution will be determined by the highest temperature recorded at Kuala Lumpur International Airport Station according to Weather Underground's historical data. Watch the weather patterns and atmospheric conditions leading up to May 30, 2026, as tropical monsoon activity and local heat dynamics in that period will be critical to final settlement.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature prediction in Kuala Lumpur on May 30 on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of outcomes, historical price movements, and $16,168 in 24-hour trading volume. The interface shows how traders are positioning around temperature thresholds, with total group volume of $31,308. This data helps you monitor market sentiment and liquidity as the event date approaches, giving you a transparent view of collective forecasting on this specific weather outcome.

Prediction market odds reflect real-time trader consensus and differ from traditional meteorological forecasts. While weather analysts rely on atmospheric models and historical climate data, prediction markets aggregate financial incentives—traders profit only if their temperature prediction proves correct. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that can diverge from official forecasts, especially as new data emerges. Comparing Polymarket odds to published meteorological outlooks for Kuala Lumpur in late May reveals how market participants weigh extreme heat scenarios differently than conventional models, offering an alternative perspective on temperature probability.

The market resolves on May 30, 2026, after the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 30 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on the official temperature data for that day, which determines whether binary outcomes are met. Traders should monitor the specified data source as the event date approaches to understand how the final settlement will be determined. The exact resolution criteria and data provider are detailed in the market's terms, ensuring transparent and objective outcome determination based on actual meteorological measurements from Kuala Lumpur.

Several factors could shift odds for Kuala Lumpur's May 30 high temperature. Seasonal weather pattern updates, monsoon forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems developing over Southeast Asia will influence trader positioning. El Niño or La Niña conditions, ocean temperature anomalies, and regional climate indices published closer to May could trigger repricing. Real-time weather model runs and official meteorological advisories will be closely watched. Additionally, any unusual heat events or climate anomalies in the weeks before May 30 may prompt traders to adjust their probability estimates, creating trading opportunities as new information becomes available.