TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

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30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 8?
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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 8?

Volume:
$31,027

33°C

 - Polymarket

33°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

33°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

35°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders, while meteorological forecasts from weather agencies and climate analysts rely on atmospheric models and historical data. Markets often incorporate broader information faster than traditional forecasts update. For Kuala Lumpur's June temperature, traders are pricing in seasonal patterns, monsoon activity, and recent climate trends. Comparing Polymarket odds to official weather service predictions and climate analyst reports can reveal whether markets are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than expert models suggest.

The market resolves at Jun 8, 2026, after the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 8 has been recorded. The outcome is determined by official temperature data for that specific date and location. Resolution depends on which temperature threshold the actual recorded high falls into, based on the market's predefined outcome categories. Once the day concludes and verified temperature readings are available, the market settles according to the outcome that occurred, and traders' positions are paid out accordingly.

Several factors could shift market odds before Jun 8, 2026. Monsoon activity and rainfall patterns in Southeast Asia directly influence daily temperatures in Kuala Lumpur. Updates from meteorological agencies about pressure systems, tropical storms, or heat waves could trigger significant price moves. Seasonal climate anomalies, including El Niño or La Niña conditions, may be priced in as new data emerges. Historical temperature records for early June in Kuala Lumpur provide baseline expectations. Real-time weather forecasts released closer to June 8 will likely drive the most dramatic odds adjustments as traders refine their predictions based on the most current atmospheric conditions.