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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 6?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 6?

Volume:
$34,757

34°C

 - Polymarket

34°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

34°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from traders and reflect collective expectations for Kuala Lumpur's June 6 high temperature. These odds can be compared against meteorological forecasts and climate analyst predictions published by weather services and research institutions. Market-based probabilities often incorporate broader information signals than single-source forecasts, though they may diverge if traders have different risk assessments or access to emerging climate data closer to the resolution date.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature outcome for Kuala Lumpur on June 6 is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature ranges. Each outcome contract reflects the market's implied probability, updated continuously as new trades occur. Prices move based on order flow and trader conviction, allowing participants to express nuanced views on whether the day will be hotter or cooler than consensus expectations.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after June 6 has concluded. Resolution is determined by the highest temperature officially recorded in Kuala Lumpur on that date. The specific measurement source and methodology used to determine the winning outcome are established in the market's terms at creation. Once the official high temperature is confirmed, the market settles and traders' positions are paid out according to which outcome bracket the actual temperature falls into.

Several factors could shift market odds before June 6. Updated seasonal weather forecasts and monsoon patterns affecting Malaysia may influence trader expectations. El Niño or La Niña conditions could signal broader regional temperature trends. Real-time atmospheric data, ocean temperatures, and jet stream positioning released closer to the date will refine predictions. Urban heat island effects and local pollution levels may also be priced in as traders refine their views on whether Kuala Lumpur will experience an unusually hot or moderate day relative to historical June averages.