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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 5?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 5?

Volume:
$46,482

32°C

 - Polymarket

32°C - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST

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View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from traders and reflect dynamic, crowd-sourced expectations. Traditional meteorological forecasts from agencies like Malaysia's Meteorological Department provide deterministic temperature predictions based on atmospheric models. Market odds may diverge from analyst forecasts because traders incorporate broader uncertainty, historical volatility, and emerging weather patterns. Comparing the two reveals whether markets are pricing in more or less extreme heat than official forecasters expect for June 5 in Kuala Lumpur.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the event is structured as a binary outcome market: Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on June 5? Traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no positions, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 reflecting the probability of each outcome. The current market price reflects the collective assessment of whether June 5 will see temperatures at or below 26°C. As new weather data emerges and the date approaches, prices adjust to reflect updated expectations.

The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the highest temperature for June 5 in Kuala Lumpur has been recorded. Resolution depends on verified meteorological data for that specific day. The outcome is determined by official temperature readings from a designated weather station or meteorological authority serving Kuala Lumpur. Once the final high temperature is confirmed, the market settles based on whether it matches the specified outcome criteria.

Several factors could shift market odds before June 5. Seasonal weather pattern updates from meteorological agencies may indicate stronger or weaker monsoon influence. El Niño or La Niña developments affect regional heat distribution across Southeast Asia. Real-time atmospheric pressure systems, tropical storm activity, or unusual high-altitude wind patterns could alter temperature expectations. Historical climate data releases and updated long-range forecasts in the weeks leading up to June 5 will also influence trader positioning on Polymarket.