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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 19?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 19?

Volume:
$65,231

31°C

 - Polymarket

31°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 19, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

31°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Polymarket dashboard for the Kuala Lumpur temperature market displays real-time odds and historical price movements for contracts tied to the highest temperature recorded in the city on June 19. Traders buy and sell shares representing different temperature ranges, and the dashboard reflects current market prices, cumulative trading volume, and the probability implied by each outcome. This live data helps participants monitor how market sentiment shifts as new weather forecasts and atmospheric data emerge.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader behavior and collective expectations. While weather agencies issue deterministic temperature predictions based on atmospheric models, this market aggregates the beliefs of many participants with financial incentives to forecast accurately. Comparing the implied probability from market prices to official forecasts can reveal where traders expect greater or lower likelihood of extreme heat, offering a complementary perspective on June 19's expected conditions in Kuala Lumpur.

On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each temperature range contract trades independently, and the price of a share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. As new weather data or forecasts circulate, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The current price of any outcome divided by its maximum value yields the implied probability, which updates continuously throughout the trading period.

This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once June 19 has passed and the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the day's peak temperature. Whichever temperature range bracket contains the verified high becomes the winning outcome, and traders holding shares in that bracket receive their payout. The resolution process is automated once the temperature data is finalized and confirmed.

Major weather pattern shifts, tropical storm developments, or updated seasonal forecasts can significantly influence trading activity. Real-time atmospheric pressure changes, monsoon intensity reports, and official meteorological alerts may prompt traders to reassess their positions. Additionally, historical temperature records for mid-June in Kuala Lumpur serve as reference points that traders monitor. As the date approaches, intraday weather updates and satellite imagery become increasingly important catalysts for price movement in this market.