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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 7?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 7?

Volume:
$85,651

32°C

 - Polymarket

32°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 7, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,988
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,985
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Kuala Lumpur temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur will reach or fall below specific thresholds on July 7. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and trading volume, allowing participants to monitor how sentiment shifts as new weather data and forecasts emerge. This dashboard gives traders a live window into collective expectations around tropical heat conditions in Malaysia's capital on that date.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders worldwide and often incorporate meteorological forecasts, historical temperature patterns, and seasonal climate data faster than traditional analyst consensus. While weather agencies and climate analysts publish official temperature predictions based on atmospheric models, this market aggregates distributed knowledge from participants with financial incentives to forecast accurately. Comparing the implied probability here to published forecasts from Malaysia's meteorological authority can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than official models suggest.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent yes or no outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective belief about whether the highest temperature will be 26°C or below on July 7, with each share worth $1 if that outcome occurs and $0 otherwise. As new weather data, seasonal patterns, or climate models are released, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down to reflect changing probabilities.

This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once July 7 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Kuala Lumpur can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual peak temperature on that day against the threshold specified in the market. Verification occurs through credible public weather data sources, ensuring that the result reflects real-world conditions rather than speculation.

Updated seasonal forecasts, tropical weather patterns, monsoon activity, and atmospheric pressure systems over Southeast Asia can all shift market odds significantly. El Niño or La Niña conditions, unexpected heat waves, or changes to regional wind patterns may prompt traders to reassess temperature expectations. Additionally, historical July temperature records for Kuala Lumpur and real-time weather model updates released closer to the date will likely drive trading volume and price adjustments as the event approaches.