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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 1?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 1?

Volume:
$116,506

33°C

 - Polymarket

33°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

33°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Kuala Lumpur temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether the highest temperature will reach a specific threshold on July 1. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and recent trade volume, allowing traders to monitor how sentiment shifts as the event date approaches. This dashboard gives you a live window into how the prediction community is pricing the likelihood of different temperature outcomes for that day.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders with real money at stake, often diverging from traditional weather forecasts or analyst estimates. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric models and historical data, this market prices in trader conviction and real-time information flow. The two approaches can differ significantly because markets incorporate broader uncertainty and incentivize participants to bet against consensus when they believe forecasters are wrong. Comparing the market's implied probability to published weather forecasts reveals where traders see value or risk.

This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Kuala Lumpur for that day becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing actual weather data against the threshold specified in the market. Resolution typically occurs within hours or a day after the event, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the confirmed temperature reading.

Weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and real-time atmospheric data releases can all shift trader expectations before July 1. Major climate anomalies, monsoon activity changes, or unexpected heat waves in the region would likely move odds significantly. As the event date approaches, intraday weather updates and short-term forecasts become more influential. Trading volume and late-breaking news about regional weather systems can also trigger rapid repricing in the final hours before resolution.