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Highest temperature in Karachi on June 6?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 6?

Volume:
$27,054

36°C

 - Polymarket

36°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

36°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,788
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,783
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations and often incorporate meteorological forecasts, historical climate data, and seasonal patterns for Karachi in early June. Professional weather analysts typically issue point forecasts or ranges based on atmospheric models, while prediction markets distill these into probabilistic outcomes through continuous trading. Market odds may diverge from analyst consensus if traders weigh recent anomalies or longer-term climate trends differently. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish on extreme heat relative to expert opinion.

On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Karachi on June 6 is priced through binary or categorical outcome contracts. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The leading outcome—Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C or below on June 6?—currently reflects trader conviction about cooler conditions. Prices move based on supply and demand; as traders buy or sell shares in each temperature bracket, the implied probability shifts. The current market price encodes the collective expectation of Polymarket participants, with volume and liquidity indicating confidence in the forecast.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the highest temperature in Karachi on June 6 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official meteorological data from a designated weather authority or data provider that tracks Karachi's daily maximum temperature. Once the actual peak temperature is confirmed, the outcome is determined by comparing it against the predefined thresholds in the market contract. Traders who backed the correct temperature bracket receive their payout based on the final settlement.

Major weather systems, monsoon onset timing, and atmospheric pressure patterns over South Asia could significantly shift odds. Updated meteorological forecasts from regional weather services will influence trader positioning as June 6 approaches. Heat waves or unusual cold fronts in the weeks leading up to the date may prompt market repricing. Urban heat island effects and local pollution levels in Karachi can also impact daily maxima. Real-time weather alerts, seasonal climate anomalies, and model consensus changes will drive trading activity and adjust market probabilities closer to resolution.