TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the highest temperature in Karachi on June 5 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by official temperature data for that date, ensuring outcomes reflect actual weather conditions in Karachi. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive payouts based on their position size, while incorrect predictions result in losses. The specificity of the date and location ensures clear, verifiable resolution criteria.
Temperature predictions for Karachi on June 5 may shift based on seasonal weather pattern updates, monsoon forecasts, and real-time atmospheric conditions as the date approaches. Major weather systems, heat waves, or unusual climate events affecting South Asia could significantly alter trader expectations. Additionally, historical temperature data releases and updated meteorological models will influence market pricing. As June 5 draws closer, actual early-June weather in Karachi will provide concrete signals that traders incorporate into their positions.