TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 29?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 29?

Volume:
$30,331

35°C

 - Polymarket

35°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 29, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

35°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

37°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,873
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in Jeddah on May 29, 2026 will fall within specific ranges. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—a high of 36°C—stands at 31.0%, while a high of 35°C is at 30.5%. Resolution will be determined by historical weather data from Weather Underground, using measurements from the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in Jeddah. Watch for seasonal weather patterns and regional climate forecasts as May 29, 2026 approaches to gauge the likelihood of these temperature thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature prediction in Jeddah on May 29 on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $16,937. The total event volume stands at $30,331, reflecting sustained trader interest in this weather outcome. Users can monitor how odds shift as new information emerges and observe liquidity patterns leading up to the May 29, 2026 resolution date.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time consensus from traders betting on Jeddah's May 29 high temperature. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on models and historical data, markets incorporate live information and trader conviction through price discovery. Meteorological forecasts from official weather services typically provide point estimates or ranges, while prediction markets express probability as odds. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more extreme outcomes or showing greater confidence in moderate temperatures than conventional forecasters suggest.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026, after the highest temperature in Jeddah on May 29 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by official temperature data from recognized meteorological sources covering Jeddah on that specific date. The outcome depends on which temperature threshold or range the actual recorded high falls into, as defined by the market's outcome categories. Traders should monitor official weather station reports and local meteorological authority announcements as the event date approaches to assess the likely resolution path.

Several factors could shift odds for Jeddah's May 29 high temperature. Seasonal weather pattern updates and long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies will influence trader expectations as May approaches. Unusual atmospheric conditions, such as dust storms or shifts in monsoon activity affecting the Arabian Peninsula, could trigger repricing. Historical temperature anomalies and climate data releases may prompt traders to adjust positions. Additionally, real-time weather model updates in the days immediately before May 29 will likely drive significant volume and volatility as traders refine their predictions based on the most current atmospheric data.