TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in Jeddah on May 29, 2026 will fall within specific ranges. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—a high of 36°C—stands at 31.0%, while a high of 35°C is at 30.5%. Resolution will be determined by historical weather data from Weather Underground, using measurements from the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in Jeddah. Watch for seasonal weather patterns and regional climate forecasts as May 29, 2026 approaches to gauge the likelihood of these temperature thresholds.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time consensus from traders betting on Jeddah's May 29 high temperature. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on models and historical data, markets incorporate live information and trader conviction through price discovery. Meteorological forecasts from official weather services typically provide point estimates or ranges, while prediction markets express probability as odds. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more extreme outcomes or showing greater confidence in moderate temperatures than conventional forecasters suggest.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026, after the highest temperature in Jeddah on May 29 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by official temperature data from recognized meteorological sources covering Jeddah on that specific date. The outcome depends on which temperature threshold or range the actual recorded high falls into, as defined by the market's outcome categories. Traders should monitor official weather station reports and local meteorological authority announcements as the event date approaches to assess the likely resolution path.
Several factors could shift odds for Jeddah's May 29 high temperature. Seasonal weather pattern updates and long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies will influence trader expectations as May approaches. Unusual atmospheric conditions, such as dust storms or shifts in monsoon activity affecting the Arabian Peninsula, could trigger repricing. Historical temperature anomalies and climate data releases may prompt traders to adjust positions. Additionally, real-time weather model updates in the days immediately before May 29 will likely drive significant volume and volatility as traders refine their predictions based on the most current atmospheric data.